McCain Could Lose Popular Vote and Still Win
By Tyler Harber
There are two scenarios that could help McCain win the election, while still losing the popular vote:
1) McCain will earn a great majority of undecided voters, putting him over the top in all the states that have close races.
2) There is a real and substantial Bradley effect that will keep Obama from getting many of the remaining undecideds. One could say that this happened in 2006 to Harold Ford, Jr in the race for US Senate in TN.
I’m more inclined to believe that the undecided voters breaking to McCain is more likely. The reason for this is the same as it was in 96 when Dole won nearly all the undecided votes and in 1980 when Reagan did the same. With Obama outspending McCain nearly 5 – to – 1 and the enthusiasm behind Obama’s race, those who say they are undecided are not likely to vote for him. They are afraid to tell the pollster that they are bucking the “popular” candidate, and generally break away from the race leader.
This would allow McCain to win several key states that could put him over the top in terms of Electoral College votes. This race will be, and really has been for the past several weeks, a state-by-state strategy. Both campaigns are looking at the states they need to win and NOT the national polling averages. As we found out as recent as 2000, you can win the popular vote and still lose the Presidency.Read more…
Video: Tyler Harber with Neil Cavuto (10/29/08)
Hat tip:WilsonResearchStrat
New Group Formed To Stand Up to Politically Correct Media
In the wake of the L.A. Times’ refusal to release a potentially damaging video tape of Barack Obama praising and dining with terrorists and their sympathizers, OKPNS received this media advisory today from a new organization called “Private Lives Public Policy:”
PrivateLivesPublicPolicy.org is a 501/c/4 not for profit corporation that was created to battle a dangerous trend — the politically correct media is no longer serving the public interest. If a candidates private life begins to affect public policy issues then we have a right to know abut it. The media is quick to point out when a conservative Republican is charged with public lewdness, but won’t talk about Democrats who’s personal relationships costs the taxpayers money.
By forming this organization we hope to begin an important discussion about protecting that which is genuinely private, but exposing the abuses of the taxpayers money covered up by politicians and their willing allies in the media who excuse it because of their own bias. We do not support or oppose any candidate for public office, but do believe that the people need unfiltered truth and information.
Here’s a little of what you’ll find on the website:
Jim Roth thought it was just fine to put homosexual themed books in the children’s section of the public library.
Jim Roth has never made a secret of his homosexuality. As a matter of fact it is celebrated on homosexual web sites: (Homosexual Victory Fund). Roth attacks those who bring up his sexual orientation as bigoted, but he used his private life to raise money from homosexual groups in his race for Oklahoma County Commissioner.
Best “What the Heck” Mail Piece of 2008
A reader sent this to us today:
“I’m a political direct mail junkie. I really like the unusual. I can’t wait to see if a piece is effective. But most of mail I’ve been getting this year is rather bland with candidates promising not to be politicians (a promise they broke when they filed for political office) and to love mom and apple pie.
But this postcard take bland to a new level . . . it mentions no candidates, nor an office for that matter. I guess this is truly the “all things to all people” postcard. Possibly it is a dirty trick from someone’s campaign to suppress voter turnout because we will be wondering “now who do I vote for?”
Picture of the Day: “Gee, You’re one Tall Motherf…!
Renzi Stone, Rep. Mary Fallin, and an unidentified man at the Maverick PAC Oklahoma reception on Aug. 15th.
Andrew Rice Refusing to Listen to Gold Star Mom
We’ve chronicled Andrew Rice’s persistent use of his brother in his long shot campaign to unseat Sen. Jim Inhofe. Rice’s brother was tragically killed on 9/11. There are those who will say that it borders on exploitation, but it is his brother, and he has every right to do what he deems proper:
“First 30 seconds, Rice is riding in a car talking about losing his brother on 9/11. The next ten seconds, a Democrat activist is surprised that Rice remembers his name…The last 50 seconds, Rice is speaking with another gentleman about - losing his brother in the World Trade Center on 9/11.”
From Daily Kos:
My older brother David Rice was a Democrat. He was killed on the 104th floor of the South Tower in the World Trade Center on Sept. 11th, 2001.
David was killed with Republicans, Independents, and Democrats. On that day, they were not members of political parties, they were Americans.
A matter has come to our attention that is very disturbing. According to the Green County Values blog, the Rice campaign had been using a picture of a fallen soldier on their website without the family’s permission. It seems they have taken the picture down, but they are still using the soldier’s name:
UPDATE 11:20AM CST - CLARIFICATION FROM ANGELIA PHILLIPS: Although the picture seems to be down, Rice still has Michael’s name on his site, here:
My son’s name is still on the Rice campaign site. I had hoped to speak with Mr. Rice face to face today but he did not show up for the public appearance in my town as he had stated he would…
[And regarding the list of names on Rice’s site, including that of her son, Michael] It’s a “tribute”. If you read my latest blog you will understand why this is insulting to me. Under state law it is the only way our fallen’s names can be used so they call it a tribute and get away with it. Fact is this man has called for a surrender in Iraq and this in nothing more than a death roll to him. A “here is why we need to give up and get out now”.
Rice needs to honor this grieving mother’s wishes.
Related:
The Hill: Inhofe touts his advantage
Okiepolitics: Does Jim Inhofe only see sepia and grey?
The Oklahoman’s Washington Bureau: Hillary Promotes Rice
Reforming the Reform Process:How to Restore Oklahoma’s Voter Initiative
Oklahoma leaders, as well as national experts, will come together on Saturday, November 15, 2008 to discuss the state of Oklahoma’s citizen initiative process, the problems citizens face and reforms that are needed.
This event is being sponsored by Oklahomans for Initiative Rights and will be held from 8:30 am – 12 noon at the Renaissance Oklahoma City Convention Center Hotel, 10 North Broadway Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 73102
Scheduled to appear are former U.S. Senator and Democratic Presidential Candidate Mike Gravel; State Sen. Randy Brogdon; City Sentinel Managing Editor Patrick McGuigan; former Republican candidate for governor and proponent of the 65% Solution petition, Bob Sullivan; OCPA’s Brandon Dutcher; Oklahoma City University Law Professor Andrew Spiropolous; and others for this educational event.
For more information: Contact Norma Sapp at (405) 321-4619 or email her at ekco@swbell.net
Related:
FreePaulJacob.com: In third-party debate, Nader says Okla. is enforcing “Jim Crow laws”
OKPNS Analysis: Press Covering-Up Roth Record/DUI Mess
Nobody knows better than Oklahoma GOP Chairman about the damage that results from the press failing to inform the public of corrupt politicians at election time. Could it be another similar pattern is emerging in this year’s election between Corporation Commissioner Jim Roth and challenger Dana Murphy.
The media screw-job by a man Jones kept repeating was a crook points out that a crooked politician’s best friend is a press corps that looks the other way. This past week, we watched as the media breathlessly examined every detail of the now-discredited slime Jim Roth threw against Dana Murphy, but they’ve been struck deaf, dumb and blind to Roth’s misbehavior, and the suspect gang surrounding Roth that was once connected to McMahan.
Readers will remember the 2006 auditor and inspector race was stolen from Jones by the convicted Jeff McMahan despite Jones making virtually all the information available the press during that campaign. The lazy and indolent (and liberal) press ignored Jones’ evidence, and McMahan was re-elected. Witnesses in the trial testified that they had “stolen” the election from Jones, and most observers believe the press was negligent since they ignored Jones and the allegations later proven to be true in court. Incredibly, last week the central figure in the McMahan corruption probe said he could implicate at least 34 more people in the political corruption probe. But the press still is looking the other way regarding the crowd that surrounded McMahan and that now surrounds Roth.
One need to look no further for evidence of press neglect than KFOR’s Sunday television program in which both Roth and Murphy were interviewed. Murphy was repeatedly questioned about the details of a divorce that occurred in the early 1990’s by Roth and the clownish Mike Turpen, a co-host of the program who is connected with organizations and individuals that support Roth. Turpen’s outrageous behavior and journalistic prostitution continues unabated: none of Murphy’s allegations were given any hearing, and nobody in the Oklahoma press has complained. As usual, viewers weren’t not told of Turpen’s multiple conflicts of interest, and Murphy’s points about Jim Roth’s personal and professional misbehavior were ignored, especially the details of Roth’s DUI arrest, which has been virtually hidden by the press from the public with the press’ contrivance.
With time running out, voters must go elsewhere if they want the truth about Roth. In 2006, the voters didn’t have the luxury of so many blogs and other internet news outlets, and the people of Oklahoma paid the price. So once again in 2008, with very few exceptions, the main stream Oklahoma media is in the tank for a politician with a highly questionable background, and the ’see no evil, hear no evil and speak no evil’ press corps is working hard to elect another politician who was on the ropes until the press ran in to help him.
